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Mississippi Stud odds
With the best strategy, Mississippi Stud has a house edge of 4.91% of the Ante. Because you bet about 3.59 Antes per hand on average, that is about 1.37% of all the money you bet. Any other way of playing costs more.
House edge
| Measured against | House edge | Average cost, 10 Ante |
|---|---|---|
| The Ante | 4.91% | 0.49 per hand |
| All money bet (Ante and raises) | 1.37% | 0.49 per hand |
Per Ante or per bet?
Both numbers describe the same game. The 4.91% divides the average loss by the Ante. But most hands add raises, and on average you put out about 3.59 Antes per hand. Divide the same loss by all of it and you get 1.37%. The cost per hand is the same either way: with a 10 Ante, about 49 cents.
How a hand ends
Played with the best strategy, from an exact count of every possible deal:
| Outcome | How often |
|---|---|
| Fold at 3rd street (lose the Ante) | 31.1% |
| Fold at 4th street | 7.7% |
| Fold at 5th street | 4.9% |
| Play to the end and win | 16.1% |
| Play to the end and push | 10.2% |
| Play to the end and lose | 30.2% |
You win about one hand in six. The game still works because the wins are often big: every raise is paid too, and a win with 3x raises behind it pays on 10 Antes.
How much is on the table
Of the hands you play to the end:
| Total bet | Share of all hands |
|---|---|
| 4 Antes (1x, 1x, 1x) | 35.2% |
| 6 Antes | 10.3% |
| 8 Antes | 6.7% |
| 10 Antes (3x, 3x, 3x) | 4.1% |
Odds of each hand
There are 2,598,960 ways to get five cards from a 52-card deck. Here is how often each hand comes, before any folding:
| Hand | Ways | Chance | Pays |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royal flush | 4 | 0.0002% | 500 to 1 |
| Straight flush | 36 | 0.0014% | 100 to 1 |
| Four of a kind | 624 | 0.024% | 40 to 1 |
| Full house | 3,744 | 0.14% | 10 to 1 |
| Flush | 5,108 | 0.20% | 6 to 1 |
| Straight | 10,200 | 0.39% | 4 to 1 |
| Three of a kind | 54,912 | 2.11% | 3 to 1 |
| Two pair | 123,552 | 4.75% | 2 to 1 |
| Pair of jacks through aces | 337,920 | 13.00% | 1 to 1 |
| Pair of 6s through 10s | 422,400 | 16.25% | Push |
| Pair of 2s through 5s | 337,920 | 13.00% | Lose |
| No pair | 1,302,540 | 50.12% | Lose |
Any five cards pay something 20.6% of the time and push 16.3% of the time. The strategy's folds are what turn those odds into the 4.91% edge: you leave early on hands that rarely get there. The hands, ranked.
Starting hand odds
- A pair on your first two cards: 78 of 1,326 hands, about 1 in 17. Raise 3x.
- A 1x raise on your first two cards: 836 of 1,326, 63%.
- A fold on your first two cards: 412 of 1,326, 31%.
Is Mississippi Stud a good game?
That depends on how you measure. 4.91% counts only the Ante. 1.37% counts every dollar you bet, which is the fairer way to compare games where you raise. Either way, the edge is fixed by the pay table, and the strategy is the only thing a player controls.
Is Mississippi Stud beatable?
No. Every hand has a house edge, and no betting pattern changes it. The deck is shuffled every hand, so past hands tell you nothing about the next. Short sessions swing both ways, because a single hand can put 10 Antes at risk.
What mistakes cost
Raising 2x, folding a hand that already pushes, or raising on hands the strategy folds all add to the edge. The 4.91% is the floor, not the average player's cost. Mississippi Stud strategy.
Learn the odds by playing
Our free table grades every fold and raise against the best play, so you can see where your own play differs. Practice Mississippi Stud.
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Questions
What is the house edge on Mississippi Stud?
4.91% of the Ante with the best strategy. Measured against all money bet, about 1.37%, because the average hand has about 3.59 Antes on it.
Is Mississippi Stud good odds?
It is 4.91% of the Ante, or 1.37% of all money bet, with the best strategy. Playing any other way costs more.
How often do you win in Mississippi Stud?
With the best strategy you win about 16% of hands, push about 10%, lose about 30% at the end, and fold about 44%.
Is Mississippi Stud beatable?
No. Every hand has a house edge. The best strategy keeps it at the minimum, and any short session can still end ahead.
What are the odds of a royal flush in Mississippi Stud?
4 in 2,598,960 for any five cards, about 1 in 649,740. It pays 500 to 1 on every bet.
How often do you fold in Mississippi Stud?
About 31% of hands on the first two cards, and about 44% in all with the best strategy.
More: How to play Mississippi Stud · Mississippi Stud rules · Mississippi Stud strategy · Mississippi Stud strategy chart · Mississippi Stud payouts · Mississippi Stud hands · The Mississippi Stud 3 Card Bonus · How to win at Mississippi Stud · Practice Mississippi Stud