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Ultimate Texas Hold'em odds
With the best possible strategy, Ultimate Texas Hold'em has a house edge of 2.19% of the Ante, or about 0.53% of all the money you bet. The simple strategy on this site comes to about 2.4% of the Ante. The Trips bet on the table here has a house edge of 1.90%.
House edge by bet
| Bet | House edge | Average cost per 10 Ante |
|---|---|---|
| Ante, Blind and Play, best strategy | 2.19% of the Ante | 0.22 per hand |
| Ante, Blind and Play, simple strategy | About 2.4% of the Ante | About 0.24 per hand |
| Trips, 50-40-30-8-6-5-3 | 1.90% of the Trips bet | 0.19 per 10 Trips |
Per Ante or per bet?
The 2.19% figure is measured against the Ante. But every hand also has a Blind, and most hands add a Play bet of 1x to 4x. On average you put out a little over four Antes per hand. Measured against all of it, the edge is about 0.53%. Both numbers describe the same game; they just divide by different things.
How a hand ends
Playing the simple strategy, here is how hands end, from our own simulation of 280 million hands:
| Outcome | How often |
|---|---|
| You win | 46.7% |
| Dealer wins | 31.9% |
| Tie | 3.4% |
| You fold | 18.0% |
You win more hands than the dealer, and the Play bet makes money over time. The Blind is where the house gets it back: it loses every time you lose or fold, but it only pays when you win with a straight or better.
Odds of each hand
There are 133,784,560 ways to get seven cards from a 52-card deck. Here is how often each best five-card hand comes:
| Hand | Ways | Chance | One in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royal flush | 4,324 | 0.003% | 30,940 |
| Straight flush | 37,260 | 0.028% | 3,591 |
| Four of a kind | 224,848 | 0.17% | 595 |
| Full house | 3,473,184 | 2.60% | 39 |
| Flush | 4,047,644 | 3.03% | 33 |
| Straight | 6,180,020 | 4.62% | 22 |
| Three of a kind | 6,461,620 | 4.83% | 21 |
| Two pair | 31,433,400 | 23.50% | 4.3 |
| Pair | 58,627,800 | 43.82% | 2.3 |
| High card | 23,294,460 | 17.41% | 5.7 |
A straight or better comes 10.4% of the time. Three of a kind or better, which wins Trips, comes 15.3% of the time. The hands, ranked.
How often the dealer opens
The dealer opens with a pair or better. Seven cards make a pair or better 82.6% of the time, so the dealer doesn't open on about 17.4% of hands, a little more than one in six. On those hands your Ante pushes and the Play and Blind are still settled.
How often each bet size comes up
With the simple strategy, the Play bet is 4x on about 38% of hands, 2x on about 21% and 1x on about 23%. The other 18% are folds. So more than one hand in three has six Antes riding on it, and that is where most of the swings come from. The Blind pays on about 8.7% of hands: the ones you win with a straight or better.
Starting hand odds
- A pocket pair: 78 of 1,326 hands, 1 in 17.
- At least one ace: 198 of 1,326, about 1 in 6.7.
- A hand on the 4x chart: 500 of 1,326, 37.7%.
Trips odds
Bet 1 on Trips over all 133,784,560 hands. Royal flushes return 216,200, straight flushes 1,490,400, four of a kind 6,745,440, full houses 27,785,472, flushes 24,285,864, straights 30,900,100 and three of a kind 19,384,860: 110,808,336 in all. The other 113,355,660 hands lose. The difference is 2,547,324, or 1.90% of the amount bet. The Trips bet.
Is Ultimate Texas Hold'em beatable?
No. Every bet has a house edge, so over many hands you lose a small share of what you bet. What you control is how big that share is: 2.19% of the Ante with perfect play, about 2.4% with the simple strategy, more with anything else. Short sessions swing both ways, because a 4x bet puts six Antes on one hand.
Learn the odds by playing
Our free table grades every decision against the simple strategy, so you can see where your own play differs. Practice Ultimate Texas Hold'em.
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Questions
Is Ultimate Texas Hold'em good odds?
The house edge is 2.19% of the Ante with best play, about 0.53% of all money bet. The simple strategy comes to about 2.4% of the Ante.
What is the house edge on Ultimate Texas Hold'em?
2.19% of the Ante with the best possible strategy, or about 0.53% of the total amount bet. Trips on the 50-40-30-8-6-5-3 table is 1.90%.
What are the odds of the dealer not qualifying?
About 17.4%, a little more than one hand in six. Seven cards make a pair or better 82.6% of the time.
Is Ultimate Texas Hold'em beatable?
No. Every bet has a house edge. Good strategy keeps it near the minimum, and any short session can still end ahead.
How often do you win in Ultimate Texas Hold'em?
With the simple strategy you win about 46.7% of hands, lose about 31.9%, tie about 3.4% and fold about 18%.
What are the odds of a royal flush in Ultimate Texas Hold'em?
4,324 in 133,784,560, about 1 in 30,940 hands. It pays 500 to 1 on the Blind and 50 to 1 on Trips.
More: How to play Ultimate Texas Hold'em · Ultimate Texas Hold'em rules · Ultimate Texas Hold'em strategy · Ultimate Texas Hold'em strategy chart · Ultimate Texas Hold'em payouts · The Trips bet in Ultimate Texas Hold'em · The Blind bet in Ultimate Texas Hold'em · Ultimate Texas Hold'em hands · How to win at Ultimate Texas Hold'em · Practice Ultimate Texas Hold'em